I may be wrong, but I strongly suspect that both the Strait of Hormuz and Kharg Island were on the strategic drawing board from day one. Any serious military planning begins with a simple question: what leverage does the adversary have? In Iran’s case, that obviously includes missiles, drones, and its ability to disrupt global oil through the Strait of Hormuz. It’s hard to imagine that U.S. and Israeli planners didn’t factor this in from the start. Trump’s pattern has been consistent — talk, offer negotiations, give the other side chances, and then act decisively. When thousands of Marines and naval assets are moving into the region, they are not there symbolically. My sense is that this has all been anticipated, and that controlling those choke points is likely part of the endgame.
Well said and very much logical..
I may be wrong, but I strongly suspect that both the Strait of Hormuz and Kharg Island were on the strategic drawing board from day one. Any serious military planning begins with a simple question: what leverage does the adversary have? In Iran’s case, that obviously includes missiles, drones, and its ability to disrupt global oil through the Strait of Hormuz. It’s hard to imagine that U.S. and Israeli planners didn’t factor this in from the start. Trump’s pattern has been consistent — talk, offer negotiations, give the other side chances, and then act decisively. When thousands of Marines and naval assets are moving into the region, they are not there symbolically. My sense is that this has all been anticipated, and that controlling those choke points is likely part of the endgame.
Very well done, John. The letter does contain some finesse, unlikely from Mr. Trump.
Biden/ Harris.. Joke of all times..
Steamer? Carney? Macron? They can’t govern their own countries, neither can they stand up to the Islamists taking their country.. ..
The Regime should be indefinitely and permanently be evicted from power. There will never be any kind of future for them whatsoever.
Oh, but if only Donald Trump could be that rational. I don’t think he is capable of this level of thought, emotionally or intellectually.
It’s beyond time to let the adults be in charge.
New piece on the incoherence of Trump’s Iran war absurdist hyperreality narrative vs. actual reality on the ground. Check it out.
https://substack.com/@kilvo623/note/p-192227096?r=e6vs9&utm_medium=ios&utm_source=notes-share-action